Jordan Love Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 4, 2023

Updated Sep 29, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

After making up 0.0% of his team's rush attempts last season, Jordan Love has been more involved in the run game this season, currently comprising 14.3%.
The Packers O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Packers to be the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 37.3% run rate.
The projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.0 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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