Jordan Love Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jordan Love to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (13.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.2% in games he has played).
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jordan Love to earn 3.0 carries in this contest, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.

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