Jordan Love Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
After accounting for 0.0% of his team's rush attempts last year, Jordan Love has been more involved in the ground game this year, now accounting for 11.2%.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 40.6% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
In this game, Jordan Love is predicted by the projection model to accumulate the 6th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.6.

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