Jordan Love Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-166).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Love has been much more involved in his offense's run game this season (11.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (0.0%).
As it relates to run support (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.
The Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 6th-worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
With regard to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.46 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.
This week, Jordan Love is predicted by the projections to garner the 4th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.7.

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