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Jordan Akins

Jordan Akins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Jordan Akins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a giant 14.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.

Jordan Akins has garnered a whopping 9.1% of his offense's air yards this year: 77th percentile among TEs.

Jordan Akins's 21.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 16.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 59.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 7th-least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Jordan Akins's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 78.5% to 75.4%.

The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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