Jordan Akins Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jordan Akins

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Akins

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Akins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+383/-792).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +424 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +383.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most passing TDs in the league to TEs: 0.65 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (69%) to TEs since the start of last season (69.0%).
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 8th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Houston Texans O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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