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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jordan Addison has run a route on 87.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Minnesota Vikings O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded a monstrous 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.

The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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