Jordan Addison Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jordan Addison

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Jordan Addison to garner 7.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
With a stellar 4.5 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) this year, Jordan Addison ranks among the top wide receivers in the league in the league.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.

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