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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.9% pass rate.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • With a sizeable 89.6% Route Participation% (86th percentile) this year, Jordan Addison stands among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.
  • Jordan Addison has accumulated a staggering 71.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Jordan Addison's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 67.0% to 70.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the model to run just 62.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.8 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • Jordan Addison's 1.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies an impressive diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 3.7% rate.

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