Jordan Addison Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jordan Addison

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
With an extraordinary 85.8% Route Participation% (78th percentile) this year, Jordan Addison ranks among the wideouts with the most usage in football.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Jordan Addison ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in the league in the open field.

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