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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast Jonnu Smith to accumulate 5.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

With an outstanding 3.5 adjusted receptions per game (84th percentile) this year, Jonnu Smith rates as one of the top pass-catching tight ends in football.

Jonnu Smith's 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a material diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 71.6% mark.

The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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