My Account Log Out

reorder

Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

This week, Jonnu Smith is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 92nd percentile among TEs with 6.2 targets.

Jonnu Smith's 38.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 28.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a running game script for the Dolphins, who are favored by 3 points.

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

The Browns pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.6%) to tight ends this year (69.6%).

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™