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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

In this week's contest, Jonnu Smith is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.1 targets.

Jonnu Smith's 36.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 28.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This year, the tough Texans defense has given up a feeble 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the lowest rate in football.

The Houston defensive ends grade out as the 6th-best DE corps in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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