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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Jonnu Smith to total 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

Jonnu Smith's 39.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 28.8.

Jonnu Smith's 4.8 adjusted catches per game this season represents a significant progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 3.3 figure.

Jonnu Smith's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 71.6% to 80.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

The Dolphins rank as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The Jets linebackers project as the 10th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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