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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Jonnu Smith to earn 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

Jonnu Smith's 39.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 16.2.

Jonnu Smith's 5.2 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a a substantial gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 2.2 mark.

Jonnu Smith's 77.7% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 71.1% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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