The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.Jonnu Smith has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching a measly 64.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.
|