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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Dolphins have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.

Jonnu Smith has put up a massive 24.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Jonnu Smith rates as one of the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 33.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Jonnu Smith rates as one of the top tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 87th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have only 124.1 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 56.5 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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