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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
  • This week, Jonnu Smith is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 92nd percentile among TEs with 6.2 targets.
  • After averaging 25.0 air yards per game last season, Jonnu Smith has made big progress this season, now pacing 32.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Dolphins, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Jonnu Smith's 5.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable diminishment in his efficiency in space over last year's 7.1% figure.

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