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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Jonnu Smith to total 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

After totaling 25.0 air yards per game last season, Jonnu Smith has posted big gains this season, currently averaging 34.0 per game.

Jonnu Smith's 39.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 28.8.

Jonnu Smith's 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 34.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

The Dolphins rank as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Jonnu Smith's 5.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a substantial decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.1% mark.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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