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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

This week, Jonnu Smith is projected by the model to rank in the 87th percentile among TEs with 6.1 targets.

Jonnu Smith has posted a whopping 30.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Jonnu Smith's 35.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 28.8.

Jonnu Smith's 42.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a significant boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 34.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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