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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Jonnu Smith to garner 5.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among TEs.

With an impressive 16.3% Target Share (88th percentile) this year, Jonnu Smith stands among the tight ends with the most usage in football.

When it comes to air yards, Jonnu Smith ranks in the lofty 82nd percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a monstrous 27.0 per game.

With a remarkable 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (81st percentile) this year, Jonnu Smith places among the top pass-catching TEs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Dolphins being an enormous 8-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.

Jonnu Smith's 5.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteworthy reduction in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 7.1% rate.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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