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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The model projects Jonnu Smith to earn 6.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

Jonnu Smith has compiled a colossal 29.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among TEs.

Jonnu Smith's 34.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 28.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 57.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.0 per game) this year.

Jonnu Smith's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 5.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.14 mark last year.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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