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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 137.0 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The Falcons have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.9 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

In this game, Jonnu Smith is expected by the model to rank in the 83rd percentile among TEs with 5.0 targets.

Jonnu Smith's 14.9% Target% this season illustrates a remarkable growth in his pass game volume over last season's 9.0% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

This year, the stout Saints defense has given up a mere 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

The Saints defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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