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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Falcons this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The leading projections forecast Jonnu Smith to total 4.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among TEs.

Jonnu Smith has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this season (15.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (9.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cardinals defense has conceded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 39.0) vs. TEs this year.

This year, the daunting Arizona Cardinals defense has given up a meager 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 7th-smallest rate in football.

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