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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Jonnu Smith's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 65.0% to 74.5%.

Jonnu Smith's ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this year, averaging 9.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 7.32 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

The New England Patriots offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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