Jonathan Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jonathan Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Williams

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Williams to accrue 15.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Williams to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (52.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.6% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup quarterback Sam Howell in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Commanders are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up just 4.43 yards-per-carry.

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