Jonathan Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jonathan Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Williams

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup quarterback Sam Howell in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Commanders are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Jonathan Williams has compiled a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among RBs.
The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Jonathan Williams has been among the bottom running backs in the pass game this year, averaging just 5.0 yards per game while ranking in the 16th percentile among RBs.
Jonathan Williams has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among running backs, catching just 61.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.

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