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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 95.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 97.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 95.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The model projects Jonathan Taylor to total 22.4 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Jonathan Taylor has been much more involved in his offense's run game this season (72.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (56.8%).

Jonathan Taylor's 91.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a noteworthy gain in his running ability over last year's 76.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts as the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.6 per game on average).

Jonathan Taylor comes in as one of the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.73 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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