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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 87.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 88.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Colts are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Jonathan Taylor to earn 21.7 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Jonathan Taylor has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this season (73.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (56.8%).

Jonathan Taylor has picked up 80.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (95th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 126.7 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 54.5 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

With an awful rate of 2.66 yards after contact (14th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor rates as one of the least powerful running backs in football.

This year, the porous Tennessee Titans run defense has been torched for a whopping 4.23 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing rushing attacks: the 26th-largest rate in football.

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