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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 74.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this game, Jonathan Taylor is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile among RBs with 23.5 rush attempts.

Jonathan Taylor has been much more involved in his offense's running game this year (73.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (56.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.

The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 53.6 per game on average).

With a dreadful tally of 2.69 yards after contact (15th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor stands among the worst RBs in the league.

This year, the deficient Broncos run defense has surrendered a monstrous 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 29th-worst rate in football.

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