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Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 7th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.In this contest, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 94th percentile among RBs with 19.5 carries.After comprising 56.8% of his team's rush attempts last year, Jonathan Taylor has played a bigger part in the ground game this year, now accounting for 74.6%.With an excellent record of 82.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Jonathan Taylor places among the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are giant -7-point underdogs.The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.With a terrible total of 2.86 yards after contact (22nd percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor stands among the least formidable running backs in the NFL.This year, the strong Detroit Lions run defense has conceded a paltry 90.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 4th-best in the NFL.
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