Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 17.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (72.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (85.9% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
Jonathan Taylor has run for substantially fewer yards per game (82.0) this year than he did last year (116.0).

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