Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to garner 20.7 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Jonathan Taylor has received 84.4% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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