Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 20.9 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Jonathan Taylor has been given 81.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
The Indianapolis Colts have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Colts are a giant 11.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
Jonathan Taylor has run for quite a few less yards per game (87.0) this season than he did last season (116.0).

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