Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 87.5 (+106/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 86.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 87.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to earn 19.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Jonathan Taylor has garnered 79.4% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
Jonathan Taylor has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (86.0) this year than he did last year (116.0).

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