Jonathan Taylor Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing TD

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-151/+113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jonathan Taylor has been given 87.1% of his team's red zone carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Jonathan Taylor has rushed for 1.00 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (100th percentile).
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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