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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.

Jonathan Taylor has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (61.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (47.1%).

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 48.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 77.7% to 58.8%.

The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.1%) vs. RBs this year (80.1%).

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