Jonathan Taylor Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The model projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The Colts have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
With a high 57.8% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to earn 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

With a 58.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Colts.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.0 per game) this year.
The Browns safeties project as the 8th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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