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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -179 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Jonathan Taylor has gone out for fewer passes this year (47.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (64.8%).

Jonathan Taylor's 75.5% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 81.2% rate.

As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Las Vegas's DE corps has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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