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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jonathan Taylor has gone out for more passes this season (62.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (49.9%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to total 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has been among the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 2.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.5% to 78.5%.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (76.5%) vs. running backs this year (76.5%).

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