Jonathan Taylor Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jonathan Taylor has gone out for more passes this season (62.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (49.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to total 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Jonathan Taylor has been among the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 2.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.5% to 78.5%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (76.5%) vs. running backs this year (76.5%).

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