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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 63.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to total 2.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Jonathan Taylor's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 56.8% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) since the start of last season.

When it comes to air yards, Jonathan Taylor grades out in the lowly 25th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -1.0 per game.

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