My Account Log Out

reorder

Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Colts to be the least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 51.8% pass rate.

The model projects the Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Jonathan Taylor's 62.2% Route% this season shows a noteable progression in his pass attack workload over last season's 47.1% mark.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

With a terrific 9.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (80th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor places among the top pass-game running backs in the NFL in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.

Jonathan Taylor has totaled a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Jonathan Taylor's 10.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 15.0 rate.

More Jonathan Taylor Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™