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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.

Jonathan Taylor has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (61.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (47.1%).

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Jonathan Taylor grades out as one of the top running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging an outstanding 10.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 84th percentile.

The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 48.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

In regards to air yards, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the paltry 10th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -4.0 per game.

Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 77.7% to 58.8%.

Jonathan Taylor's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, notching a measly 5.05 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.34 mark last year.

The Patriots defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 24.0) vs. RBs this year.

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