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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.

Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 51.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to notch 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.8% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Jonathan Taylor has accrued a paltry -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 2nd percentile among RBs.

Jonathan Taylor's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 82.4% to 69.9%.

Jonathan Taylor's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, accumulating just 2.96 yards-per-target compared to a 6.14 figure last season.

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