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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonathan Taylor has totaled a puny -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 4th percentile among running backs.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Jonathan Taylor has accrued quite a few less receiving yards per game (12.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

Jonathan Taylor's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating a mere 3.60 yards-per-target vs a 6.10 figure last year.

Jonathan Taylor's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this year, totaling a measly 7.12 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.60 mark last year.

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