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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 7th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this contest, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 94th percentile among RBs with 19.5 carries.
  • After comprising 56.8% of his team's rush attempts last year, Jonathan Taylor has played a bigger part in the ground game this year, now accounting for 74.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Lions safeties project as the best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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