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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Jonathan Mingo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+129/-179).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Panthers are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New Orleans's CB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (only 54.0 per game on average).

Jonathan Mingo's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 45.6.

Jonathan Mingo's pass-catching performance worsened this year, accumulating a mere 1.7 adjusted catches compared to 2.7 last year.

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