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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jonathan Mingo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Panthers to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Falcons pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (75.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
  • Jonathan Mingo's 70.9% Route Participation Rate this season signifies an impressive regression in his passing attack utilization over last season's 92.8% rate.
  • Jonathan Mingo checks in as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football, completing a measly 49.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among wideouts
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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