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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

Jonathan Mingo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Panthers.

The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Jonathan Mingo's 13.7% Target% this year illustrates a remarkable diminishment in his air attack utilization over last year's 18.7% rate.

Jonathan Mingo rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 52.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 13th percentile among wideouts

Since the start of last season, the formidable Chicago Bears defense has given up a mere 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.

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