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Jonathan Mingo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 63.5 per game on average).Jonathan Mingo has run a route on 93.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.In this game, Jonathan Mingo is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.2 targets.As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Atlanta's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 51.7% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.The Carolina O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.Jonathan Mingo ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in the league, hauling in just 46.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 1st percentile among wide receiversThis year, the formidable Falcons defense has allowed a puny 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-smallest rate in football.
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